TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9AM ET
polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9AM ET

Volume:
$94,948

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9AM ET

 - Polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9AM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 4, 2026

Closed: Jun 4, 10:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

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Volume
24h
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polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9AM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$94,948
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect traders' collective expectations for Bitcoin's directional move by June 4, 9AM ET, often diverging from current spot price levels. While spot markets price Bitcoin's immediate value, prediction markets embed forward-looking sentiment about volatility, macroeconomic catalysts, and event-driven moves. Comparing Polymarket odds to analyst forecasts and on-chain metrics can reveal whether traders are pricing in bullish or bearish scenarios. Significant gaps between prediction odds and consensus analyst views may signal contrarian positioning or emerging conviction shifts in the crypto community.

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9AM ET is priced as a binary contract where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. The price of each share reflects the probability assigned by the market, ranging from near zero to near one dollar. As traders place orders, the automated market maker adjusts prices to balance supply and demand. Higher trading volume typically narrows spreads and improves price discovery, making the odds more reliable. Monitor Polymarket's order book depth and recent trade history to gauge conviction and liquidity around this event.

Bitcoin's price direction by June 4, 9AM ET could be influenced by Federal Reserve policy announcements, macroeconomic data releases, regulatory developments, and major corporate or institutional crypto adoption news. On-chain metrics such as whale accumulation, exchange inflows, and network activity may signal conviction shifts. Geopolitical events, traditional market volatility, and sentiment swings in equities or commodities often correlate with Bitcoin moves. Technical levels and options expiry dates can also trigger volatility. Monitor crypto news, central bank calendars, and social sentiment to anticipate catalysts that traders are pricing into Polymarket odds.