TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6PM ET
polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6PM ET

Volume:
$40,743

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6PM ET

 - Polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6PM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 4, 2026

Closed: Jun 4, 7:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

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24h
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Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6PM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$40,743
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

The Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6PM ET market resolves at Jun 4, 2026. At that time, the outcome is determined by Bitcoin's price direction relative to the reference level specified in the market rules. Once the resolution criteria are met, the market settles and winning shares are redeemed at full value while losing shares expire worthless. Resolution is typically automated using a price feed from a major exchange at the exact moment specified. Traders should review the full market terms on Polymarket to confirm the exact reference price source and settlement procedure before trading.

Bitcoin's price direction into Jun 4, 2026 could be influenced by macroeconomic data (inflation reports, Fed policy signals), regulatory announcements, major exchange inflows or outflows, technical support and resistance levels, and sentiment shifts in crypto markets. Geopolitical events, corporate adoption news, and movements in traditional risk assets like equities often correlate with Bitcoin volatility. On-chain metrics such as whale accumulation or exchange reserve changes can signal institutional conviction. Short-term catalysts—exchange hacks, major liquidations, or viral social media trends—can also trigger rapid price swings. Monitoring these signals helps traders anticipate which way prediction market odds might shift before Jun 4, 2026.