TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4AM ET
polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4AM ET

Volume:
$56,915

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4AM ET

 - Polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4AM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 4, 2026

Closed: Jun 4, 5:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

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polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4AM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$56,915
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect trader consensus on Bitcoin's direction by June 4, 4AM ET, which often diverges from spot price analysis alone. While spot prices reflect current market value, prediction odds incorporate forward-looking sentiment, volatility expectations, and event catalysts traders anticipate over the next few days. Comparing Polymarket odds to analyst forecasts and technical analysis can reveal whether the market is pricing in bullish or bearish momentum. Traders use both data sources to validate their directional thesis.

The Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4AM ET market resolves at Jun 4, 2026. At that moment, the outcome is determined by Bitcoin's price movement relative to the reference point established at market creation. Traders who correctly predicted the direction receive their payout, while those on the losing side forfeit their stake. The resolution is final once the market closes and the outcome is confirmed.

Several catalysts could shift Bitcoin's direction by June 4, 4AM ET. Macroeconomic announcements, Federal Reserve commentary, or major regulatory news can trigger sharp moves. Bitcoin-specific events such as large exchange transfers, mining difficulty adjustments, or institutional adoption news also influence price. Geopolitical developments and traditional market volatility often correlate with crypto sentiment. Technical levels and options expiry dates may create support or resistance. Traders monitor these signals closely to adjust positions ahead of the resolution deadline.