TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 3, 9:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Major catalysts include Federal Reserve policy announcements, inflation data, and macroeconomic sentiment, all of which influence risk appetite for crypto assets. Bitcoin-specific events such as regulatory news, exchange inflows or outflows, and large on-chain transactions can trigger sharp directional moves. Technical levels and support or resistance zones may attract algorithmic trading. Additionally, geopolitical developments, corporate adoption announcements, or shifts in institutional positioning can shift market expectations. Traders monitoring these signals often adjust positions ahead of Jun 3, 2026, creating volatility in the prediction market odds.