TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

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2,388,728,490

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$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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39%

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Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET

Volume:
$24,327

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET

 - Polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 3, 2026

Closed: Jun 3, 12:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

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polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24,327
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect collective trader expectations about Bitcoin's direction during that four-hour window, which may differ from traditional spot price analysis or analyst forecasts. While spot price expectations focus on longer-term trends or technical levels, this market isolates a specific intraday timeframe. Traders on Polymarket price in volatility, economic events, and news catalysts expected between 8:00AM and 12:00PM ET on June 3rd. Comparing these odds to broader market sentiment or analyst calls can reveal whether the prediction market is pricing in tail risks or consensus that traditional analysis may miss.

The market resolves at Jun 3, 2026, marking the end of the four-hour trading window. Resolution is determined by Bitcoin's price movement between 8:00AM and 12:00PM ET on June 3rd. The outcome hinges on whether the closing price at 12:00PM ET is higher or lower than the opening price at 8:00AM ET. This intraday structure isolates short-term volatility and news events within that specific window, making it distinct from longer-duration Bitcoin markets. Traders should monitor economic releases, regulatory announcements, or major news that could impact Bitcoin during those four hours.

Several catalysts could influence Bitcoin's direction during the June 3rd window. Macroeconomic data releases, Federal Reserve communications, or inflation reports scheduled for that morning could trigger sharp moves. Regulatory announcements from the SEC, CFTC, or international authorities may shift sentiment. Major corporate or institutional Bitcoin news, exchange inflows or outflows, or technical breakouts above or below key support and resistance levels could also drive price action. Geopolitical developments and broader equity market movements often correlate with Bitcoin volatility. Traders should monitor economic calendars and crypto news closely in the days leading up to June 3rd.