TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7AM ET
polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7AM ET

Volume:
$29,538

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7AM ET

 - Polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7AM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 3, 2026

Closed: Jun 3, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

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24h
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polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7AM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$29,538
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7AM ET is priced as a binary contract where traders buy or sell shares representing each outcome. The current odds reflect the balance of buy and sell orders; as more capital flows into the Up outcome, its price rises and probability increases. Polymarket uses an automated market maker model, so prices adjust dynamically based on trading volume and participant conviction. The spread between bid and ask prices indicates liquidity and trader confidence in the outcome.

The market resolves on Jun 3, 2026, at which point the outcome is determined by Bitcoin's price movement relative to the specified threshold at 7AM ET on June 3. Traders who correctly predicted the direction receive their winnings, while incorrect positions expire worthless. The resolution is based on verified price data from established sources, ensuring a fair and transparent settlement. All positions must be settled by the end date, after which no further trading occurs on this event.

Key catalysts include Federal Reserve policy announcements, inflation data, and macroeconomic sentiment shifts that typically drive Bitcoin volatility. Regulatory developments, major institutional adoption news, or security incidents on major exchanges can also trigger sharp directional moves. On-chain metrics such as whale accumulation or exchange inflows may signal trader positioning. Technical levels and support or resistance zones established before June 3 could influence short-term price action. Geopolitical events and traditional market risk-off episodes often correlate with Bitcoin downside, while risk-on sentiment and equity rallies typically support upside momentum.