TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 3, 7:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect trader consensus on Bitcoin's directional move by June 3, 6PM ET, which may diverge from current spot price levels or analyst forecasts. While spot markets price Bitcoin's immediate value, prediction markets embed forward-looking expectations about volatility, macroeconomic catalysts, and event-specific drivers over the next several months. Comparing Polymarket odds to analyst price targets or historical volatility patterns can reveal whether the market is pricing in bullish or bearish sentiment relative to conventional expectations.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6PM ET is priced as a binary contract where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. The current odds reflect the cumulative bets placed on whether Bitcoin will move up or down by the resolution time. Prices fluctuate based on order flow and new information; as traders adjust positions, the probability shifts in real time. Liquidity and trading volume on Polymarket determine how easily you can enter or exit positions at competitive prices.
The Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6PM ET market resolves on Jun 3, 2026. Resolution is determined by Bitcoin's price movement relative to a reference point established at market creation. Traders should review the official market terms on Polymarket to confirm the exact price source, measurement methodology, and any tie-breaking rules. Once the resolution time passes, the outcome is finalized and winning shares are settled according to the market's predetermined criteria.
Bitcoin's directional move by June 3, 6PM ET could be influenced by macroeconomic announcements, Federal Reserve policy signals, regulatory developments, and major corporate or institutional adoption news. Geopolitical events, inflation data, and shifts in risk sentiment across equities and commodities often correlate with Bitcoin volatility. Technical breakouts, large on-chain transactions, and sentiment shifts on social media can also trigger rapid repricing. Traders should monitor crypto news, traditional finance calendars, and on-chain metrics to anticipate moves that could swing the outcome.