TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET

Volume:
$21,220

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET

 - Polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 3, 2026

Closed: Jun 3, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

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polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$21,220
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, the Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET event is priced as a binary outcome contract where traders buy and sell shares representing either an up or down move during the specified four-hour window. The current odds reflect the collective belief of Polymarket participants, with prices ranging between 0 and 1 (or 0% to 100%). As traders place orders, the price adjusts in real time based on supply and demand. The dashboard displays the latest bid-ask spread and recent trade history, allowing you to see exactly how the market is pricing this specific Bitcoin directional bet. Liquidity and volume on Polymarket determine how easily you can enter or exit positions at fair prices.

The Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET market resolves on Jun 3, 2026. The outcome is determined by Bitcoin's price movement during the specified four-hour window on June 3rd, from 4:00AM to 8:00AM ET. The market will settle based on whether Bitcoin closes higher or lower at the end of that window compared to its opening price at 4:00AM ET. Traders holding positions in the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless. The exact price data source and settlement methodology are defined in the market's terms, ensuring transparent and objective resolution once the time window closes.

Several catalysts could influence Bitcoin's direction during the June 3rd window. Macroeconomic announcements, Federal Reserve communications, or major geopolitical developments released in the hours before or during the 4:00AM–8:00AM ET window could trigger sharp moves. On-chain metrics, large whale transactions, or shifts in institutional positioning may also drive volatility. Regulatory news from major jurisdictions, traditional market opens (equity futures, commodities), and sentiment shifts across social media and crypto communities can all impact Bitcoin's price trajectory. Technical levels and support/resistance zones established in preceding days will likely influence where traders expect the price to move. Monitoring news feeds, on-chain activity, and broader market conditions leading up to June 3rd will help you assess the probability of an up or down move.