TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12AM ET
polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12AM ET

Volume:
$53,360

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12AM ET

 - Polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12AM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 3, 2026

Closed: Jun 3, 1:00 AM EST

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Polymarket

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Volume
24h
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Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12AM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$53,360
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12AM ET is priced on Polymarket as a binary contract where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Shares trade continuously, and the price of each outcome reflects the collective probability assigned by the market. At Jun 3, 2026, one outcome will resolve to 1 and the other to 0. Polymarket uses an automated market maker model, so prices adjust dynamically based on order flow and trading volume, allowing real-time discovery of the market's true belief about Bitcoin's directional movement.

The Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12AM ET market resolves at Jun 3, 2026. At that moment, the outcome is determined by whether Bitcoin's price has moved in the specified direction relative to the reference level. Resolution is final once the market closes, and traders' profits or losses are settled based on which outcome occurred. Until resolution, positions remain open and can be traded or held.

Several catalysts could influence Bitcoin's direction by June 3, 12AM ET, including macroeconomic data releases, Federal Reserve communications, regulatory announcements, and major institutional or corporate Bitcoin news. Geopolitical events, shifts in risk sentiment, and movements in traditional markets like equities and bonds often correlate with crypto volatility. Technical levels, options expiry dates, and large on-chain transactions can also trigger sharp moves. Traders monitoring these signals adjust their positions on Polymarket, causing odds to shift as new information emerges.