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Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12AM ET
polymarket
predict

Will Bitcoin be up or down on June 28 at 12AM ET?

Volume:
$22,169

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12AM ET

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 28, 2026

Closed: Jun 28, 1:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

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polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12AM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,416
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12AM ET

View
N/A
N/A
—
$2,885
$4,753
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Description

This event group tracks whether Bitcoin's price on the BTC/USDT pair at Binance closes higher than or equal to its opening price during the 1-hour candle beginning June 28, 2024 at 12:00 AM ET. Resolution depends on the finalized open and close prices from Binance's 1H candlestick chart for that specific time window.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms use identical resolution criteria referencing the same Binance BTC/USDT 1H candle, with no divergence in logic, timing, or data source.Primary resolution logic: Binance BTC/USDT pair, 1H candlestick chart (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT)

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution occurs after the 1H candle beginning June 28, 2024 at 12:00 AM ET has closed and finalized
  • Market resolves to Up if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for that candle
  • Market resolves to Down if the close price is less than the open price
  • Only Binance BTC/USDT data is used; prices from other exchanges or trading pairs are excluded

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Close equals Open: Market resolves to Up (the resolution rule specifies >= not just >)
  • Data finalization delay: Resolution uses the close and open prices once the 1H candle data is finalized on Binance, not preliminary or real-time quotes
  • Exchange outage or data unavailability: Not explicitly addressed in rules; standard market cancellation or postponement procedures would apply
Timing: Resolution occurs after 1:00 AM ET on June 28, 2024, when the 1H candle that began at 12:00 AM ET closes and its data is finalized on BinanceOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, which can cause temporary price gaps. Polymarket and Predict may also have distinct user bases with varying risk appetites and information access. Arbitrage traders typically exploit these spreads, but latency, withdrawal friction, and platform-specific rules can prevent instant convergence. Monitoring both venues reveals whether consensus is truly aligned or if one platform is pricing in information the other has not yet reflected.

Major catalysts include Federal Reserve policy announcements, macroeconomic data releases, and regulatory news affecting cryptocurrency markets. Geopolitical events, corporate Bitcoin holdings announcements, and shifts in institutional adoption can also trigger sharp repricing. Technical breakouts or breakdowns on spot exchanges often cascade into prediction market moves as traders hedge or take directional bets. Volatility spikes in traditional markets frequently correlate with Bitcoin directional swings, making equities and bonds worth monitoring as leading indicators.