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Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11PM ET
polymarket

Will Bitcoin be up at June 28, 11PM ET?

Volume:
$19,884

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11PM ET

 - Polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11PM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 29, 2026

Closed: Jun 29, 12:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

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polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11PM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$19,884
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

The Bitcoin price direction market dashboard on Polymarket tracks real-time odds and historical price data for this binary prediction on whether Bitcoin will move up or down by the settlement deadline. Traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome, and the current market price reflects the collective probability assigned by participants. The dashboard displays the latest odds for both directions, 24-hour trading volume, and a price history chart so you can monitor how sentiment has shifted as new information emerges.

Prediction market odds often diverge from spot price momentum because they incorporate longer-term expectations and tail risks beyond immediate technical signals. While a short-term rally might suggest upward bias, traders in this market weigh macroeconomic catalysts, regulatory news, and broader sentiment over the full window until resolution. Comparing the implied probability here to analyst forecasts and on-chain metrics can reveal whether the market is pricing in consensus or contrarian views on Bitcoin's near-term direction.

On Polymarket, traders set the odds through an automated market maker that adjusts prices based on order flow and liquidity. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each share represents a claim on one outcome, and the market price—ranging from 0 to 1—reflects the probability the crowd assigns to Bitcoin moving up or down. As more capital flows into either side, the price shifts, incentivizing arbitrage and discovery of the true expected probability by the deadline.

This market resolves around Jun 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will reflect Bitcoin's price direction relative to the reference point at the time the market opened, assessed at the settlement timestamp. Winning shares are redeemed at full value once the outcome is finalized and verified.

Major catalysts include Federal Reserve policy announcements, inflation data, and macroeconomic risk sentiment—all of which typically drive Bitcoin volatility. Regulatory developments, corporate adoption news, and geopolitical events can also shift trader positioning significantly. On-chain metrics such as whale accumulation, exchange inflows, and network activity may influence short-term directional bets. Technical breakouts or breakdowns near key support and resistance levels often trigger sharp repricing as traders adjust their conviction ahead of the deadline.