TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$129,159,707

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,442,132,418

404,744

Markets across

30,489

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,691

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8AM ET
polymarket
predict

Will Bitcoin be up on June 27 at 8AM ET?

Volume:
$33,674

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8AM ET

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 27, 2026

Closed: Jun 27, 9:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8AM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$29,034
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8AM ET

View
N/A
N/A
—
$3,088
$4,640
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Description

This event group tracks whether Bitcoin's price on the BTC/USDT pair at Binance closes higher than or equal to its opening price during the 1-hour candle beginning June 27, 2024 at 8:00 AM ET. Resolution depends on the finalized close and open prices from Binance's 1H candlestick chart for that specific time window.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms use identical resolution criteria: Close price >= Open price for the BTC/USDT 1H candle starting June 27, 8AM ET on Binance resolves to UP; otherwise DOWN.Primary resolution logic: Binance BTC/USDT pair, 1H candlestick chart (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT)

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution occurs after the 1H candle closes (at 9:00 AM ET on June 27, 2024)
  • UP: Close price >= Open price for the specified 1H candle
  • DOWN: Close price < Open price for the specified 1H candle
  • Data source is exclusively Binance BTC/USDT; no alternative exchanges or pairs are considered
  • Resolution uses finalized candlestick data displayed on Binance's trading interface

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Exact tie (Close = Open): Resolves to UP, as the condition is Close >= Open (inclusive of equality)
  • Data finalization delay: Resolution waits for the candle to fully close and Binance data to be finalized; no early settlement
  • Exchange outage or data unavailability: Not explicitly addressed in rules; would likely trigger cancellation or dispute resolution per platform policy
Timing: Resolution occurs at 9:00 AM ET on June 27, 2024, when the 1H candle closes and Binance data is finalizedOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds reflect what traders are willing to stake on a specific outcome, which often differs from spot price momentum alone. While technical analysis and recent price action inform many traders, this market prices in broader expectations about volatility, macro events, and sentiment shifts over the resolution window. The odds you see here represent real financial commitment, not just sentiment—making them a distinct signal from charting or exchange order flow.

Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity depths, and fee structures, all of which influence how prices settle. Polymarket and Predict may also have slightly different user bases responding to news at different speeds or with varying risk appetites. Arbitrage opportunities sometimes emerge when one venue lags the other, though active traders typically work to close such gaps quickly.

Major catalysts include regulatory announcements, macroeconomic data releases, shifts in institutional adoption, and statements from central banks or major crypto platforms. Technical breakouts or breakdowns can also accelerate trader positioning. Geopolitical events, changes in traditional market risk appetite, and on-chain activity spikes may all influence how traders reassess the odds leading up to the resolution window.