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406,065

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Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7AM ET
polymarket
predict

Will Bitcoin be up on June 27, 7AM ET?

Volume:
$27,566

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7AM ET

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 27, 2026

Closed: Jun 27, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
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Price
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Liquidity
Volume
24h
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polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7AM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23,093
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7AM ET

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
$4,473
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Description

This event group tracks whether Bitcoin's price on the BTC/USDT pair at Binance closes higher than or equal to its opening price during the 1-hour candle beginning June 27, 2024 at 7:00 AM ET. Resolution depends on the finalized close and open prices from Binance's 1H candlestick chart for that specific time window.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms use identical resolution criteria: Close price >= Open price for the BTC/USDT 1H candle starting June 27, 7AM ET on Binance resolves to Up; otherwise Down.Primary resolution logic: Binance BTC/USDT pair, 1H candlestick chart (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT)

Core resolution logic:

  • Identify the 1-hour candle that begins on June 27, 2024 at 7:00 AM ET on Binance BTC/USDT
  • Extract the Open price (O) and Close price (C) from the finalized candle data
  • If Close >= Open, resolve to Up
  • If Close < Open, resolve to Down
  • Resolution uses only Binance data; prices from other exchanges or trading pairs are excluded

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Candle Finalization Timing: Resolution occurs after the 1-hour candle closes (8:00 AM ET). Binance must display finalized OHLC data before settlement.
  • Data Unavailability: If Binance BTC/USDT 1H candle data is unavailable, corrupted, or the exchange experiences an outage, resolution may be delayed or require manual intervention by platform operators.
  • Exact Tie (Close = Open): When Close price exactly equals Open price, the market resolves to Up per the >= condition.
  • Exchange Discretion: No alternative data sources or discretionary adjustments are permitted; Binance BTC/USDT is the sole authoritative source.
Timing: Resolution occurs after 8:00 AM ET on June 27, 2024, once the 1-hour candle is finalized and Binance displays confirmed OHLC data.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds reflect trader beliefs about directional movement, not current spot prices. While spot markets price Bitcoin's immediate value, this market prices the probability of a specific directional outcome by a future date. Traders often incorporate volatility expectations, upcoming catalysts, and macro sentiment into their odds. If spot prices are stable but this market shows skewed odds toward one direction, it signals traders expect a catalyst or momentum shift. Comparing the two reveals whether the market is pricing in moves that spot traders haven't yet reflected.

Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader bases, liquidity depths, and fee structures, which can create temporary price gaps on identical events. Polymarket and Predict may also have different user interfaces, promotional incentives, or settlement rule interpretations that influence how traders price risk. Arbitrage opportunities arise when one platform's odds diverge significantly from the other; savvy traders exploit these spreads. Monitoring both venues helps you identify whether a price move reflects genuine new information or simply platform-specific trading dynamics.

Macroeconomic announcements—Federal Reserve policy shifts, inflation data, or geopolitical developments—often trigger sharp Bitcoin repricing and shift odds significantly. Regulatory news, major exchange hacks or outages, and large on-chain transactions can also swing sentiment. Technical levels and support or resistance breaches may prompt momentum traders to reposition. Correlation with traditional markets, equity volatility spikes, and shifts in institutional adoption narratives all influence how traders adjust their directional bets. Monitor crypto news, macro calendars, and on-chain metrics closely for early signals.