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Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6PM ET
polymarket
predict

Will Bitcoin be up or down on June 27 at 6PM ET?

Volume:
$34,414

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6PM ET

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 27, 2026

Closed: Jun 27, 7:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6PM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$31,566
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6PM ET

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
$2,848
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Description

This event group tracks whether Bitcoin's price on the BTC/USDT pair at Binance closes higher than or equal to its opening price during the 1-hour candle beginning at 6PM ET on June 27. Resolution depends on the finalized close and open prices from Binance's 1H candlestick chart for that specific time window.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms use identical resolution criteria referencing the same Binance BTC/USDT pair, the same 1-hour candle window, and the same close-versus-open comparison logic with no divergence in interpretation or source.Primary resolution logic: Binance BTC/USDT 1H candlestick data (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT)

Core resolution logic:

  • Identify the 1-hour candle that begins at 6PM ET on June 27, 2024 on Binance BTC/USDT
  • Resolve to Up if Close Price >= Open Price for that candle
  • Resolve to Down if Close Price < Open Price for that candle
  • Use only finalized candlestick data; do not use real-time or incomplete candle data
  • No alternative exchanges, trading pairs, or data sources are permitted

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Candle Finalization Timing: Resolution occurs after the 1-hour candle closes at 7PM ET on June 27, 2024, when Binance's candlestick data is finalized and no longer subject to real-time updates.
  • Price Equality (Close = Open): When close price equals open price, the market resolves to Up, as the resolution criterion is close >= open (inclusive).
  • Data Unavailability or Exchange Outage: If Binance data is unavailable or corrupted for the specified candle, resolution may be delayed or require dispute resolution; markets should specify contingency procedures.
  • Timezone Verification: The 6PM ET timestamp must be correctly converted to Binance server time (UTC) to identify the correct 1-hour candle; 6PM ET = 10PM UTC (standard time) or 9PM UTC (daylight saving time, applicable in late June).
Timing: Resolution occurs after 7PM ET on June 27, 2024, once the 1-hour candle beginning at 6PM ET has closed and Binance candlestick data is finalized.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

The Bitcoin price direction market aggregates trader positions across Polymarket and Predict, capturing real-time consensus on whether Bitcoin's price will move up or down by the June 27 deadline. This dashboard displays implied probabilities from both platforms side by side, letting you compare how each community is pricing the same outcome. Cross-platform tracking reveals whether consensus is tight or diverging, and shows which direction traders favor overall. The aggregated view helps you spot arbitrage opportunities and understand whether conviction is building or fragmenting across prediction markets.

Major catalysts include Federal Reserve policy announcements, macroeconomic data releases, regulatory news affecting crypto markets, and Bitcoin-specific developments like network upgrades or large holder transactions. Geopolitical events, traditional market volatility, and shifts in institutional adoption sentiment can all swing trader positioning. Technical breakouts or breakdowns near key price levels often trigger rapid repricing as traders update their directional bets. Real-time news flow and on-chain metrics like exchange inflows also influence odds, so monitoring these signals helps you anticipate market moves before they're fully priced in.