TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6AM ET
polymarket
predict

Will Bitcoin be up on June 27, 6AM ET?

Volume:
$23,261

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6AM ET

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 27, 2026

Closed: Jun 27, 7:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6AM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$19,610
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6AM ET

View
N/A
N/A
—
$1,783
$3,651
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Description

This event group tracks whether Bitcoin's price on the BTC/USDT pair at Binance closes higher than or equal to its opening price during the 1-hour candle beginning June 27, 2024 at 6:00 AM ET. Resolution depends on the finalized close and open prices from Binance's 1H candlestick chart for that specific time window.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms use identical resolution criteria: Up if Close >= Open for the June 27, 6AM ET BTC/USDT 1H candle on Binance; otherwise Down.Primary resolution logic: Binance BTC/USDT pair, 1H candlestick chart (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT)

Core resolution logic:

  • Identify the 1-hour candle that begins on June 27, 2024 at 6:00 AM ET on Binance BTC/USDT
  • Extract the Open price (O) and Close price (C) from that candle once data is finalized
  • Resolve to Up if C >= O
  • Resolve to Down if C < O
  • Resolution uses only Binance data; other exchanges or trading pairs are excluded

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Finalization Timing: Resolution occurs only after the 1H candle fully closes and Binance data is finalized, typically within seconds of 7:00 AM ET on June 27
  • Exchange-Specific Pricing: If Binance data is unavailable or corrupted, resolution cannot proceed; markets would likely be cancelled. No fallback to other exchanges is permitted per the rules
  • Exact Tie (Open = Close): When Open equals Close, the condition C >= O is satisfied, so the market resolves to Up
Timing: Resolution occurs after the 1-hour candle closes at 7:00 AM ET on June 27, 2024, once Binance BTC/USDT data is finalizedOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds reflect trader beliefs about future price direction, not current spot prices. When this market shows odds near 50–50, it signals genuine uncertainty about whether Bitcoin will be higher or lower at the specified time. Spot prices reflect only what Bitcoin trades for right now; prediction odds embed forward-looking expectations, volatility premia, and trader conviction. If odds skew heavily toward one direction, it suggests predictors expect momentum or a catalyst to push price movement. Comparing these two signals—current spot versus predicted direction—helps identify whether the market is pricing in a reversal, continuation, or stalemate.