TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5AM ET
polymarket
predict

Will Bitcoin be up on June 27, 5AM ET?

Volume:
$25,441

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5AM ET

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 27, 2026

Closed: Jun 27, 6:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5AM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20,589
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5AM ET

View
N/A
N/A
—
$44,911
$4,852
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Description

This event group tracks whether Bitcoin's price on the BTC/USDT pair at Binance closes higher than or equal to its opening price during the 1-hour candle beginning June 27, 2024 at 5:00 AM ET. Resolution depends on the finalized close and open prices from Binance's 1H candlestick chart for that specific time window.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms use identical resolution criteria: Close >= Open triggers Up, otherwise Down, using only Binance BTC/USDT 1H candle data.Primary resolution logic: Binance BTC/USDT pair, 1H candlestick chart (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT)

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution occurs for the 1-hour candle that begins on June 27, 2024 at 5:00 AM ET
  • Market resolves to Up if the candle's close price is greater than or equal to the candle's open price
  • Market resolves to Down if the candle's close price is less than the candle's open price
  • Only Binance BTC/USDT pair data is used; other exchanges or trading pairs are explicitly excluded
  • Resolution uses finalized candle data only, after the 1-hour period completes at 6:00 AM ET

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Close equals Open: Market resolves to Up (the condition is Close >= Open, so equality triggers Up)
  • Data source unavailability: No contingency specified; both platforms rely on Binance data availability at the specified time
  • Exchange halts or anomalies: No explicit handling documented; resolution depends on Binance's official 1H candle display
Timing: Resolution occurs after 6:00 AM ET on June 27, 2024, when the 1-hour candle that began at 5:00 AM ET is finalized and the close price is confirmed on BinanceOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds reflect what traders are willing to stake on outcomes, often diverging from spot price momentum or technical analysis. While spot prices react to immediate news and order flow, this market prices directional conviction over a defined interval. Odds near 50–50 suggest genuine uncertainty about direction, whereas skewed probabilities indicate stronger trader positioning. These odds can serve as a contrarian signal or confirmation depending on your own market view and risk tolerance.

Polymarket and Predict operate distinct liquidity pools, user bases, and fee structures. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in trader composition, regional access, and platform-specific incentives can push odds apart temporarily. Arbitrage traders typically exploit these gaps, but friction costs and settlement risk mean small spreads often persist. Monitoring both platforms helps you identify mispricing and understand which venue reflects stronger conviction on directional movement.

Major catalysts include regulatory announcements, macroeconomic data releases, and shifts in institutional or retail sentiment toward crypto assets. Technical breaks above or below key support and resistance levels often trigger repricing. Broader equity market volatility, central bank communications, and on-chain activity can also influence directional bets. Monitoring news flow and order book depth on this market helps traders anticipate momentum shifts before they're fully priced in.