TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9PM ET
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Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9PM ET

Volume:
$69,934

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9PM ET

 - Polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9PM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 3, 2026

Closed: Jun 2, 10:00 PM EST

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Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9PM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$69,934
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

The Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9PM ET dashboard on Polymarket tracks real-time odds for whether Bitcoin's price will move up or down at the 9PM ET timestamp on June 2. The dashboard displays the current implied probability for each outcome, historical price movements, and 24-hour trading volume. Traders use this data to monitor market sentiment and assess how participants are pricing Bitcoin's directional movement at that specific moment. The dashboard updates continuously as new trades execute, reflecting the latest consensus among market participants on Polymarket.

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect traders' collective expectations for Bitcoin's direction at 9PM ET on June 2, which may differ from current spot price momentum or technical analysis. While spot price expectations focus on near-term price action and volatility, prediction markets incorporate broader sentiment, funding rates, and macro catalysts. Comparing Polymarket odds to analyst forecasts or on-chain signals can reveal whether the market is pricing in consensus or divergent views. Traders often use this comparison to identify potential mispricings or validate their directional thesis.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9PM ET is priced on Polymarket as a binary outcome contract where traders buy and sell shares representing each direction. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the ratio of capital allocated to each outcome, with prices ranging from 0 to 1 (or 0% to 100%). Polymarket uses an automated market maker model, so prices adjust dynamically as traders enter and exit positions. The spread between bid and ask prices tightens as volume increases, allowing more efficient price discovery closer to the June 2, 9PM ET resolution time.

The Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9PM ET market resolves on Jun 3, 2026. Resolution is determined by Bitcoin's price direction at the specified 9PM ET timestamp on June 2. The outcome is binary: either Bitcoin closes up or down from its opening price at that moment. Once the resolution time passes, the market is settled based on the observed price movement, and winning shares are credited with their payout value while losing shares expire worthless.

Bitcoin's direction on June 2 at 9PM ET could be influenced by macroeconomic announcements, Federal Reserve communications, or major regulatory developments affecting crypto markets. Geopolitical events, corporate earnings, or shifts in risk sentiment can drive broader market moves that affect Bitcoin. On-chain metrics such as whale accumulation, exchange inflows, or funding rate extremes may signal directional pressure. Technical levels and support/resistance zones established in the days leading up to June 2 could trigger algorithmic trading or liquidations. Real-time news flow and sentiment shifts in the hours before 9PM ET will likely have the most immediate impact on the final outcome.