TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 2, 10:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect traders' collective expectations for Bitcoin's direction at 9PM ET on June 2, which may differ from current spot price momentum or technical analysis. While spot price expectations focus on near-term price action and volatility, prediction markets incorporate broader sentiment, funding rates, and macro catalysts. Comparing Polymarket odds to analyst forecasts or on-chain signals can reveal whether the market is pricing in consensus or divergent views. Traders often use this comparison to identify potential mispricings or validate their directional thesis.
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9PM ET is priced on Polymarket as a binary outcome contract where traders buy and sell shares representing each direction. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the ratio of capital allocated to each outcome, with prices ranging from 0 to 1 (or 0% to 100%). Polymarket uses an automated market maker model, so prices adjust dynamically as traders enter and exit positions. The spread between bid and ask prices tightens as volume increases, allowing more efficient price discovery closer to the June 2, 9PM ET resolution time.
The Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9PM ET market resolves on Jun 3, 2026. Resolution is determined by Bitcoin's price direction at the specified 9PM ET timestamp on June 2. The outcome is binary: either Bitcoin closes up or down from its opening price at that moment. Once the resolution time passes, the market is settled based on the observed price movement, and winning shares are credited with their payout value while losing shares expire worthless.
Bitcoin's direction on June 2 at 9PM ET could be influenced by macroeconomic announcements, Federal Reserve communications, or major regulatory developments affecting crypto markets. Geopolitical events, corporate earnings, or shifts in risk sentiment can drive broader market moves that affect Bitcoin. On-chain metrics such as whale accumulation, exchange inflows, or funding rate extremes may signal directional pressure. Technical levels and support/resistance zones established in the days leading up to June 2 could trigger algorithmic trading or liquidations. Real-time news flow and sentiment shifts in the hours before 9PM ET will likely have the most immediate impact on the final outcome.