TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 2, 9:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect traders' collective expectations for Bitcoin's directional move by June 2, 8PM ET, which may differ from current spot price levels or analyst forecasts. While spot price shows Bitcoin's current market value, prediction odds incorporate forward-looking sentiment, volatility expectations, and event-specific catalysts. Comparing the two helps identify whether the market is pricing in upside or downside momentum relative to today's trading levels and whether consensus among prediction traders aligns with traditional market indicators.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8PM ET is priced as a binary contract where traders buy or sell shares representing either an up or down outcome. The price of each share reflects the probability assigned by the market; higher prices indicate stronger conviction in that outcome. Liquidity and trading volume on Polymarket determine how easily you can enter or exit positions, and prices update in real time as new trades execute throughout the market.
The Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8PM ET market resolves at Jun 3, 2026. At that moment, the outcome is determined by Bitcoin's price movement relative to the specified threshold or reference point. Once the resolution criteria are met, the market settles and winning positions are paid out according to the contract terms. Traders should review the exact resolution rules on Polymarket to understand precisely how the up or down determination will be made.
Bitcoin's price direction by June 2, 8PM ET could be influenced by macroeconomic announcements, Federal Reserve policy signals, regulatory news affecting crypto markets, major corporate or institutional Bitcoin moves, and technical breakouts or breakdowns. Geopolitical events, traditional market volatility, and shifts in risk appetite also impact Bitcoin sentiment. Traders should monitor on-chain metrics, derivatives positioning, and broader market correlation with equities and commodities to anticipate directional moves before the resolution deadline.