TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4PM ET
polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4PM ET

Volume:
$46,982

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4PM ET

 - Polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4PM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 2, 2026

Closed: Jun 2, 5:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

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Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4PM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$46,982
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4PM ET is priced on Polymarket as a binary contract where traders buy or sell shares representing "Up" or "Down" outcomes. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The contract trades continuously, with the share price reflecting real-time probability: a share priced at 0.50 implies a 50% chance. As new information emerges or trader sentiment shifts, prices adjust instantly. Polymarket uses an automated market maker model, meaning liquidity and spreads depend on order flow. The current odds reflect the collective forecast of all active traders on this specific venue.

The Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4PM ET market resolves on Jun 2, 2026. At that moment, the outcome is determined by Bitcoin's price movement relative to the specified threshold. Traders who correctly predicted the direction receive their winnings, while incorrect positions expire worthless. The resolution is final and non-negotiable once the deadline passes. This short-duration event makes it ideal for traders seeking near-term directional exposure without long-term commitment.

Bitcoin's price direction by June 2, 4PM ET could be influenced by macroeconomic announcements, Federal Reserve communications, regulatory news, or major corporate crypto adoption developments. On-chain metrics like exchange inflows or whale transactions may signal accumulation or distribution pressure. Geopolitical events, traditional market volatility, or shifts in institutional sentiment can also drive Bitcoin's directional move. Technical levels and support or resistance zones may trigger algorithmic trading. Monitoring these catalysts helps traders and prediction market participants anticipate which way Bitcoin might swing before the deadline.