TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 13, 3:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect trader expectations about Bitcoin's direction by June 13, 2AM ET, which may differ from current spot price momentum or technical analysis. While spot prices react to immediate news and volatility, prediction markets price in longer-term directional conviction over the full event window. Comparing Polymarket odds to analyst forecasts or on-chain metrics can reveal whether traders are more or less bullish than consensus. This divergence often highlights where informed traders see value relative to conventional price expectations.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, the Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2AM ET market is priced as a binary contract where traders buy or sell shares representing either an up or down outcome by the resolution timestamp. The price of each outcome reflects the collective probability assigned by the market; higher prices indicate stronger trader conviction. Liquidity and recent volume on Polymarket determine how easily traders can enter or exit positions. As the event date approaches, prices typically tighten as uncertainty resolves and new information emerges.
The Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2AM ET market resolves on Jun 13, 2026. At that time, the outcome is determined by Bitcoin's price movement relative to the reference level specified in the market terms. Traders who correctly predicted the direction receive their winnings, while incorrect positions expire worthless. The resolution is final once confirmed, and any remaining open positions settle according to the market's outcome rules. This timing gives traders a defined window to monitor Bitcoin's behavior and adjust their positions.
Bitcoin's direction by June 13, 2AM ET could be influenced by macroeconomic announcements, Federal Reserve policy signals, or major regulatory developments affecting crypto markets. On-chain metrics such as whale transactions, exchange inflows, or mining activity may also shift trader sentiment. Geopolitical events, traditional market volatility, or shifts in institutional adoption narratives can trigger sharp moves. Technical levels and support or resistance zones will likely attract algorithmic trading. Real-time news flow and social media momentum often accelerate price swings in the final hours before resolution.