TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1AM ET
polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1AM ET

Volume:
$24,076

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1AM ET

 - Polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1AM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 13, 2026

Closed: Jun 13, 2:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

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Chance %
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Spread
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Volume
24h
7d
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polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1AM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$24,076
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds reflect traders' collective assessment of Bitcoin's directional move by the resolution time, which often diverges from current spot price momentum. While spot markets react to immediate price action, prediction markets incorporate longer-term expectations and tail risks. Comparing Polymarket odds to analyst forecasts and on-chain sentiment indicators can reveal whether the market is pricing in volatility, regulatory news, or macroeconomic shifts that spot traders may not yet fully reflect. This divergence often signals trading opportunities.

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this event is priced as a binary contract where traders buy and sell shares representing either an up or down outcome by Jun 13, 2026. Share prices range from 0 to 1 and directly reflect the implied probability; a price of 0.65 means the market assigns 65% probability to that outcome. Liquidity, recent Bitcoin price action, and macroeconomic catalysts drive price discovery. You can enter or exit positions at any time before resolution by trading against the order book or automated market maker.

Key catalysts include Federal Reserve policy announcements, inflation data, and major macroeconomic releases that typically drive risk-on or risk-off sentiment. Regulatory news from the SEC or international bodies can shift Bitcoin demand sharply. On-chain metrics like exchange inflows and whale transactions signal accumulation or distribution pressure. Geopolitical tensions, corporate adoption announcements, and technical breakouts above or below key support and resistance levels also influence directional bets. Monitoring these signals helps traders anticipate market moves before resolution.