TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET
polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET

Volume:
$15,288

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET

 - Polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 13, 2026

Closed: Jun 12, 9:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

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24h
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polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$15,288
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect traders' collective belief about Bitcoin's directional move by June 12, 8PM ET, which may differ from spot price analysis or technical indicators. While spot price expectations focus on current market conditions and near-term momentum, prediction markets incorporate longer-term sentiment, funding rates, and macroeconomic factors. Analysts and on-chain metrics might suggest one direction, yet Polymarket traders may price in different probabilities based on event risk or volatility expectations. Comparing these perspectives helps identify whether prediction markets are pricing in information that traditional analysis has overlooked.

On Polymarket, Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET is priced as a binary contract where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The contract price reflects the probability that Bitcoin will move in the specified direction by the June 12, 8PM ET deadline. Traders profit if their chosen outcome occurs and lose their stake if it does not. Polymarket uses an automated market maker model, meaning prices adjust continuously based on order flow and liquidity. Higher prices indicate stronger market conviction in that outcome. The bid-ask spread and available liquidity on Polymarket determine how easily traders can enter or exit positions.

The Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET market resolves at Jun 13, 2026. Resolution is determined by comparing Bitcoin's price at the specified time against the reference level defined in the market terms. The outcome is binary: either Bitcoin moved in the predicted direction or it did not. Once the resolution timestamp passes, the market settles based on verified price data, and winning shares are paid out while losing shares expire worthless. Traders should review the exact market terms to understand the precise price reference point and any tie-breaking rules that may apply.

Several catalysts could influence Bitcoin's direction by June 12, 8PM ET. Federal Reserve policy announcements and interest rate decisions typically drive broad market sentiment and risk appetite. Regulatory news, especially from the SEC or international bodies, can trigger sharp moves in crypto markets. Major corporate or institutional adoption announcements may push Bitcoin higher, while security breaches or exchange issues could pressure prices lower. Macroeconomic data such as inflation reports and employment figures affect Bitcoin's correlation with traditional assets. On-chain metrics like whale accumulation or exchange outflows may signal directional bias. Technical levels and options expiry dates can also create volatility around key price points leading up to resolution.