TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET
polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET

Volume:
$41,448

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET

 - Polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 12, 2026

Closed: Jun 12, 6:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

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polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$41,448
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect traders' collective expectations about Bitcoin's directional movement by June 12, 5PM ET, which may differ from current spot price momentum or technical analysis. While spot price reflects real-time exchange valuations, prediction market odds incorporate forward-looking sentiment, news catalysts, and macro uncertainty. Comparing Polymarket odds to analyst forecasts or on-chain metrics can reveal whether the market is pricing in bullish or bearish bias. Divergences between prediction odds and spot price trends often signal opportunities or consensus shifts among informed traders.

Bitcoin's price direction by June 12, 5PM ET could be influenced by macroeconomic data releases, Federal Reserve policy signals, regulatory announcements, and major institutional moves. Crypto-specific catalysts include network upgrades, exchange inflows or outflows, and shifts in on-chain whale activity. Geopolitical events and traditional market volatility often correlate with Bitcoin moves. Technical levels and options expiry dates may also trigger momentum. Monitoring real-time news, on-chain metrics, and Polymarket order flow can help traders anticipate directional shifts before resolution.