TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET
polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET

Volume:
$32,702

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET

 - Polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 12, 2026

Closed: Jun 12, 6:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$32,702
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

The market resolves on Jun 12, 2026. At that moment, Bitcoin's price direction relative to the specified baseline determines the outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the direction receive their payout, while those on the losing side forfeit their stake. The resolution is final once the outcome is confirmed, and all positions settle accordingly. Ensure you understand the exact price reference point and time zone (5AM ET) to avoid confusion about when the snapshot is taken.

Major catalysts include Federal Reserve policy announcements, inflation data, and macroeconomic sentiment, all of which typically drive Bitcoin volatility. Regulatory news—such as SEC guidance on crypto assets or government crackdowns—can trigger sharp directional moves. On-chain metrics like whale transactions, exchange inflows, and mining activity may signal accumulation or distribution. Technical levels and support/resistance zones also matter; a break above or below key price points can accelerate momentum. Geopolitical events and traditional market stress can push Bitcoin either direction as investors seek safe havens or risk-on exposure.