TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET
polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET

Volume:
$28,364

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET

 - Polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 12, 2026

Closed: Jun 12, 4:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

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polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$28,364
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect traders' collective belief about Bitcoin's direction by June 12, 3AM ET, but they differ from spot price expectations because they embed time decay, funding costs, and event-specific uncertainty. Spot price analysis focuses on current technical or fundamental signals, while prediction markets price in the full probability distribution through Jun 12, 2026. Comparing Polymarket odds to analyst forecasts or on-chain metrics can reveal whether the market is pricing in more or less bullish sentiment than traditional analysis suggests. This divergence often signals trading opportunities or consensus shifts.

The Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET market resolves on Jun 12, 2026. At that moment, the outcome is determined by comparing Bitcoin's price at the specified time against a reference level established at market creation. The winning outcome is then settled on Polymarket, and traders holding shares in the correct outcome receive their payout. Resolution timing is precise to ensure fair settlement across all participants.

Bitcoin's direction by June 12, 3AM ET could be influenced by macroeconomic announcements, Federal Reserve policy signals, or major regulatory developments affecting crypto. On-chain metrics such as whale accumulation or exchange inflows may signal conviction among large holders. Market-wide events like equities volatility, inflation data, or geopolitical news often correlate with Bitcoin moves. Technical levels and options expiry dates can also create short-term momentum. Monitoring these catalysts alongside Polymarket order flow helps traders anticipate shifts in prediction market odds leading up to resolution.