TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2AM ET
polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2AM ET

Volume:
$53,568

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2AM ET

 - Polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2AM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 12, 2026

Closed: Jun 12, 3:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

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Chance %
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24h
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polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2AM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$53,568
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

The Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2AM ET market resolves on Jun 12, 2026. Resolution occurs after the specified time window closes and Bitcoin's price movement is finalized. The outcome is determined by comparing Bitcoin's price at the resolution timestamp against a reference baseline to establish whether the directional move qualifies as up or down. Once the resolution criteria are met and verified, the market settles and winning positions are credited. Traders should monitor the exact resolution mechanics and data source specified by Polymarket to understand how the final outcome will be calculated and confirmed.

Bitcoin's directional movement by June 12, 2AM ET could be driven by macroeconomic announcements, Federal Reserve policy signals, or major geopolitical developments affecting risk appetite. Regulatory news—such as SEC guidance on crypto or government enforcement actions—often triggers sharp price swings. On-chain metrics like exchange inflows, whale wallet movements, or mining difficulty shifts can signal accumulation or distribution pressure. Technical levels and support/resistance zones may attract algorithmic trading. Institutional adoption announcements or corporate treasury moves can shift sentiment. Additionally, Bitcoin's correlation with traditional markets, equity volatility, and bond yields may amplify moves. Monitoring these catalysts helps traders assess probability shifts in the prediction market ahead of resolution.