TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET
polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET

Volume:
$23,525

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET

 - Polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 12, 2026

Closed: Jun 12, 2:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

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Chance %
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24h
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polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23,525
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET is priced as a binary outcome contract where traders buy and sell shares representing either an up or down move by the specified time. The market price of each outcome reflects the probability traders assign to that scenario. As new information emerges—regulatory announcements, macroeconomic data, or on-chain metrics—Polymarket prices adjust in real time. Liquidity and trading volume on this contract determine how efficiently prices move and how easily traders can enter or exit positions near fair value.

The Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET market resolves on Jun 12, 2026. At that time, the outcome is determined by Bitcoin's price direction relative to the specified reference point. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless. The resolution process is automated and final once the market closes, ensuring all positions settle according to the predetermined criteria established at market creation.

Several catalysts could shift Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET odds before resolution. Federal Reserve policy announcements and inflation data impact risk appetite for crypto assets. Major regulatory developments—such as SEC guidance or international banking rules—often trigger sharp directional moves. On-chain metrics like exchange inflows, whale accumulation, and network activity provide early signals of institutional positioning. Macroeconomic shocks, geopolitical events, and Bitcoin-specific news such as mining difficulty adjustments or exchange-traded fund flows can also drive significant price swings during the prediction window.