TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 12, 12:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this event is priced as a binary contract where traders buy and sell shares representing "Bitcoin Up" or "Bitcoin Down" outcomes. The price of each share reflects the market's probability estimate, ranging from 0 to 1 (or 0% to 100%). As traders place orders, the price adjusts based on supply and demand dynamics. The current odds are visible on the order book, and you can execute trades at the displayed prices. Polymarket's automated market maker mechanism ensures continuous liquidity and transparent price discovery throughout the four-hour trading window.
Several catalysts could influence Bitcoin's direction during this window. Macroeconomic announcements, Federal Reserve commentary, or major geopolitical developments could trigger volatility. On-chain metrics such as large whale transactions or exchange inflows may signal buying or selling pressure. Regulatory news or statements from prominent crypto figures can shift sentiment rapidly. Technical levels and support or resistance zones identified by traders often act as inflection points. Additionally, broader equity market movements, inflation data releases, or unexpected corporate announcements involving major Bitcoin holders could all impact directional momentum during the June 11 evening session.