TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Crypto
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

Volume:
$11,767

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

 - Polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 12, 2026

Closed: Jun 12, 12:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

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24h
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polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
0.8¢
N/A
$11,767
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds reflect aggregate trader conviction about Bitcoin's direction during the June 11 evening window, while spot price expectations are typically derived from technical analysis, analyst forecasts, or implied volatility in derivatives markets. The prediction market odds on Polymarket incorporate real money incentives and reveal what informed traders actually believe will happen. Comparing these odds to analyst sentiment or historical volatility patterns can highlight whether the market is pricing in more bullish or bearish momentum than traditional technical indicators suggest for this specific four-hour period.

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this event is priced as a binary contract where traders buy and sell shares representing "Bitcoin Up" or "Bitcoin Down" outcomes. The price of each share reflects the market's probability estimate, ranging from 0 to 1 (or 0% to 100%). As traders place orders, the price adjusts based on supply and demand dynamics. The current odds are visible on the order book, and you can execute trades at the displayed prices. Polymarket's automated market maker mechanism ensures continuous liquidity and transparent price discovery throughout the four-hour trading window.

Several catalysts could influence Bitcoin's direction during this window. Macroeconomic announcements, Federal Reserve commentary, or major geopolitical developments could trigger volatility. On-chain metrics such as large whale transactions or exchange inflows may signal buying or selling pressure. Regulatory news or statements from prominent crypto figures can shift sentiment rapidly. Technical levels and support or resistance zones identified by traders often act as inflection points. Additionally, broader equity market movements, inflation data releases, or unexpected corporate announcements involving major Bitcoin holders could all impact directional momentum during the June 11 evening session.