TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Volume:
$51,207

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

 - Polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 11, 2026

Closed: Jun 11, 4:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

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24h
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polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$51,207
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Frequently asked questions

The PredictionHero dashboard tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the Bitcoin Up or Down event on Polymarket. You can monitor the current implied probability for each outcome, historical price movements, and 24-hour trading volume. The dashboard updates continuously during the market window, allowing traders to see how sentiment shifts as new information emerges. This single-venue view gives you a clear snapshot of what Polymarket participants are pricing in for Bitcoin's direction during the specified four-hour window on June 11.

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect traders' collective expectations for Bitcoin's directional move during that specific four-hour window. These odds often diverge from broader spot price forecasts because they isolate a narrow time frame and require binary conviction. Spot price analysts and longer-term forecasters typically focus on different horizons and risk factors. By comparing Polymarket odds to analyst consensus or historical volatility patterns for that time window, you can gauge whether the market is pricing in unusual conviction or skepticism about Bitcoin's near-term direction.

Bitcoin's price during that four-hour window could be influenced by macroeconomic announcements, Federal Reserve communications, major regulatory news, or significant corporate or institutional moves. Intraday volatility often spikes around scheduled economic data releases or geopolitical developments. Sentiment shifts in traditional markets—equities, bonds, or the dollar—can also cascade into crypto. Watch for any breaking news, exchange outflows or inflows, or large on-chain transactions that might signal institutional positioning. Technical levels and support/resistance zones established before June 11 may also guide short-term directional moves.