TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 11, 11:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect trader expectations about Bitcoin's directional move by June 11, 10PM ET, which often diverge from current spot price levels. While spot price shows Bitcoin's immediate market value, prediction odds incorporate forward-looking sentiment and uncertainty over the event window. Comparing these reveals whether traders expect volatility, breakouts, or consolidation. Analyst forecasts and on-chain metrics provide additional context for evaluating whether market odds appear overpriced or underpriced relative to fundamental expectations.
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10PM ET is priced on Polymarket as a binary outcome contract where traders buy shares representing either an up or down move by the deadline. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Shares are purchased at prices between 0 and 100 cents, with the price reflecting the market's probability estimate. Higher prices indicate stronger conviction in that outcome. Liquidity and trading volume on Polymarket determine how easily traders can enter or exit positions, with deeper order books enabling larger trades with minimal slippage.
The Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10PM ET market resolves on Jun 12, 2026. The outcome is determined by Bitcoin's price movement relative to the specified reference point at the exact resolution timestamp. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing shares expire worthless. The resolution process is automated and final once the market closes, locking in all trades and settling positions based on the confirmed outcome data.
Bitcoin's directional move by June 11, 10PM ET could be influenced by macroeconomic announcements, Federal Reserve policy signals, and broader risk sentiment in equities and bonds. Regulatory developments, major institutional adoption news, or significant security incidents affecting exchanges or protocols can trigger sharp volatility. On-chain metrics such as whale accumulation, exchange inflows, and network activity may signal conviction shifts. Technical levels, options expiry dates, and derivative liquidations can also act as catalysts. Geopolitical events and traditional market correlations remain important drivers of crypto sentiment.