TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$143,246,370

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,403,290,006

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,452,035,386

405,032

Markets across

30,543

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,690

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

Volume:
$16,507

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

 - Polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 11, 2026

Closed: Jun 11, 12:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

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polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$16,507
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect traders' collective expectations about Bitcoin's directional movement during that specific four-hour window, which may diverge from broader spot price forecasts or analyst sentiment. While spot markets price Bitcoin continuously based on supply and demand, this event market isolates a discrete time window and binary outcome. Comparing the implied probability from Polymarket to traditional analyst price targets or social media sentiment can reveal whether traders are more or less bullish than the wider market consensus on that particular evening.

Several catalysts could influence Bitcoin's direction during this window. Macroeconomic announcements, Federal Reserve communications, or major regulatory news could trigger sharp moves. Crypto-specific events—such as large exchange transfers, whale wallet activity, or protocol upgrades—often drive intraday volatility. Market-wide risk sentiment, stock market performance, and traditional finance closing hours can also affect Bitcoin's trajectory. Technical levels and support-resistance zones may guide traders' positioning. Monitoring news flow, on-chain metrics, and broader financial markets in the days leading up to June 10 will help traders assess shifting probabilities on Polymarket.