TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 10, 3:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect traders' collective belief about Bitcoin's directional move by June 10, 2PM ET, which may differ from spot price forecasts by traditional analysts or on-chain metrics. While spot price expectations focus on technical analysis and market sentiment at a single exchange, prediction markets aggregate real-money bets and incentivize accuracy through financial reward. The Polymarket odds represent a crowd-sourced probability that incorporates diverse viewpoints and evolving information. Comparing these odds to analyst price targets or sentiment surveys can reveal whether the market is pricing in more bullish or bearish outcomes than conventional forecasts suggest.
On Polymarket, Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2PM ET is priced as a binary contract where traders buy shares representing either outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the market's probability estimate: a higher share price means traders believe that outcome is more likely. Polymarket uses an automated market maker model, so prices adjust continuously as new trades occur. You can enter or exit positions at any time before the June 10, 2PM ET deadline, and your profit or loss depends on whether your chosen outcome resolves true or false.
Bitcoin's price direction by June 10, 2PM ET could be influenced by macroeconomic announcements, Federal Reserve policy signals, or major regulatory developments affecting crypto markets. Institutional adoption news, large whale transactions, or shifts in on-chain activity may also trigger volatility. Geopolitical events, traditional market performance, and sentiment shifts on social media can drive short-term momentum. Technical levels and support or resistance zones may act as decision points for traders. Monitoring crypto news, Bitcoin futures positioning, and broader market conditions between now and the resolution deadline will help you assess which outcome the market is likely to favor.