TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 10, 1:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect traders' aggregated bets on Bitcoin's directional movement by June 10, 12PM ET, which may differ from current spot price levels or analyst forecasts. While spot prices show Bitcoin's real-time market value, prediction odds incorporate forward-looking sentiment, tail risks, and event-specific catalysts that traders expect to influence price action. Comparing the implied probabilities on Polymarket to consensus analyst price targets or on-chain metrics can reveal whether the market is pricing in more bullish or bearish scenarios than traditional analysis suggests.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, the Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12PM ET event is priced as a binary contract where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. The price of each share reflects the market's probability estimate, ranging from 0 to 1 (or 0% to 100%). As traders place orders, the price adjusts based on supply and demand dynamics. Higher trading volume typically narrows bid-ask spreads and increases price accuracy. You can enter positions at any time before the June 10, 12PM ET deadline and exit early if your view changes or you want to lock in profits or losses.
The Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12PM ET market resolves on Jun 10, 2026. At that moment, the outcome is determined by Bitcoin's price movement relative to the specified threshold. Traders who correctly predicted the direction receive their payout, while those on the losing side forfeit their stake. Resolution is final once the market closes, and any remaining open positions are settled according to the outcome. Ensure you understand the exact price reference point and measurement method before placing your trade.
Bitcoin's price action through June 10, 12PM ET could be influenced by macroeconomic data releases, Federal Reserve communications, regulatory announcements, or major institutional moves. Geopolitical developments, corporate earnings reports, and shifts in risk sentiment across equities and commodities often correlate with crypto volatility. On-chain metrics such as large whale transactions or exchange inflows may signal accumulation or distribution pressure. Technical levels, support and resistance zones, and options expiry dates can also trigger sharp moves. Monitor financial news, central bank calendars, and Bitcoin derivatives markets for clues about likely directional catalysts.