TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 10, 11:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
On Polymarket, the Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10AM ET event is priced as a binary outcome contract, with traders buying and selling shares representing "Up" or "Down" outcomes. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price of each outcome reflects the collective probability assigned by Polymarket participants. Shares are typically priced between 0 and 1 cent, with the sum of both outcomes equaling 1 dollar. As the June 10 deadline approaches, prices adjust based on new information, Bitcoin volatility, and shifts in trader positioning. Liquidity and trading volume on Polymarket determine how easily you can enter or exit positions at competitive prices.
The Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10AM ET market resolves on Jun 10, 2026. Resolution is determined by Bitcoin's price movement relative to a specified reference point at the exact time and date stated in the event title. The outcome hinges on whether Bitcoin closes above or below that threshold at 10AM ET on June 10. Once the resolution time passes, the market is settled based on verified price data, and winning shares pay out accordingly. Traders should monitor the exact resolution criteria and reference price source to understand their position clearly.
Several catalysts could influence Bitcoin's direction by June 10, 10AM ET. Macroeconomic announcements, Federal Reserve policy signals, and inflation data often trigger sharp crypto moves. Regulatory news—particularly from the SEC or international bodies—can shift sentiment quickly. Bitcoin-specific events such as major exchange outflows, whale transactions, or network upgrades may also matter. Geopolitical tensions, traditional market volatility, and corporate adoption news can ripple into crypto markets. Technical levels and options expiry dates sometimes create price pressure. Monitoring these signals alongside Polymarket odds can help you gauge whether the market is pricing in upcoming risks or opportunities.