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$141,541,542

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$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

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events

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2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

Volume:
$8,914

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

 - Polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET - Polymarket

1W

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Positive

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Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 2, 2026

Closed: Jun 2, 12:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

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polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
0.6¢
N/A
$8,914
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect collective trader expectations about Bitcoin's directional movement during that specific four-hour window. These odds often diverge from traditional spot price analysis because they incorporate real money incentives and crowd wisdom. Analysts and on-chain observers may focus on longer-term trends or technical levels, while prediction markets isolate a precise time window, creating different risk-reward dynamics. The market odds represent a probabilistic consensus distinct from conventional price forecasts or sentiment surveys.

The market resolves after Jun 2, 2026, once the four-hour trading window closes. Resolution is determined by Bitcoin's price movement during that specific period on June 1st. The outcome hinges on whether the closing price at 12:00AM ET is higher or lower than the opening price at 8:00PM ET. Traders holding winning shares receive their payout once the result is confirmed and the market settles.

Several catalysts could influence Bitcoin's direction during this window. Macroeconomic announcements, Federal Reserve communications, or major regulatory news could trigger volatility. Crypto-specific events such as large exchange flows, whale transactions, or protocol developments may also matter. Market sentiment shifts driven by traditional finance movements or geopolitical developments could sway traders. Technical levels and support or resistance zones may attract algorithmic trading. Real-time social media trends and sentiment swings among retail traders can amplify price moves within the compressed four-hour timeframe.