TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 1, 11:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10AM ET is priced on Polymarket as a binary contract where traders buy or sell shares representing each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the probability traders assign to each direction, with prices ranging from 0 to 1 (or 0% to 100%). As traders place orders, the price adjusts in real time based on supply and demand. Higher prices indicate stronger conviction that an outcome will occur. Polymarket's automated market maker ensures continuous liquidity, allowing traders to enter or exit positions at transparent, market-driven rates.
The Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10AM ET market resolves on Jun 1, 2026. At that time, the outcome is determined by Bitcoin's price movement relative to the specified threshold at 10AM ET on June 1st. The market will settle based on whether Bitcoin moved up or down according to the event criteria. Traders who held shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing shares expire worthless. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the event time as data is confirmed and the market settles automatically.
Several catalysts could shift Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10AM ET odds before resolution. Macroeconomic announcements—Federal Reserve policy decisions, inflation data, or geopolitical developments—often trigger sharp directional moves. Regulatory news from major jurisdictions, corporate adoption announcements, or large on-chain transactions can sway sentiment. Technical levels and support/resistance zones matter as traders position ahead of the event. Market-wide volatility, options expiry dates, and derivative liquidations may also influence Bitcoin's price action. Monitoring these signals helps traders anticipate momentum shifts in the prediction market.