TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Bitcoin price on September 8?
polymarket
opinion

Bitcoin price on September 8?

Volume:
$133,142

78,000-80,000

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Opinion

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 8, 2026

Closed: Sep 8, 12:14 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

78,000-80,000

View
100%
43%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$23,849
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
opinion

78,000-80,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

74,000-76,000

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25,713
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

74,000-76,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

76,000-78,000

View
0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25,127
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

76,000-78,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

82,000-84,000

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,129
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

82,000-84,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<68,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,287
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

80,000-82,000

View
0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,959
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

80,000-82,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

84,000-86,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,509
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

84,000-86,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

>86,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,099
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

72,000-74,000

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,077
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

72,000-74,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

68,000-70,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,911
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

70,000-72,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$481
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

70,000-72,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

<70,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

86,000-88,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

>88,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 22

Description

This group forecasts the price of Bitcoin on September 8th. Markets ask whether the price will fall within specific ranges or exceed certain thresholds. Resolution relies on the closing price of Bitcoin on Binance.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The platforms use different range definitions and the opinion platform does not specify a resolution source.Hero tip: Focus on Polymarket as the primary source due to its clear resolution source (Binance) and tie-breaking rule. Be mindful of the differing range definitions on opinion.

Critical divergence points:

  • opinion: Presents a series of discrete price ranges and asks if the price falls within each. No resolution source is specified.
  • polymarket: Asks if the price is above or below specific values or within a range. Resolves based on the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close at noon ET. If the price falls exactly between two brackets, the higher range bracket is used.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Opinion

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the final "Close" price of the Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on the date specified in the title falls within the price range specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds reflect the collective wisdom of traders, offering a different perspective than traditional spot price expectations. This market, the September 8 Bitcoin price market, provides a probabilistic forecast, showing the likelihood of various price ranges. Spot prices are based on current supply and demand, while prediction markets incorporate future expectations and potential events. A significant difference between the implied probability from this market and spot prices could signal an anticipated market shift or a disagreement about future volatility. Analyzing both provides a more comprehensive view of potential price movements.

Polymarket and Opinion can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Opinion for the September 8 Bitcoin price may differ due to variations in user base, trading activity, and market-specific rules. Polymarket might attract a different demographic of traders compared to Opinion, leading to differing opinions on the likely outcome. Furthermore, the liquidity and volume on each platform can influence price discovery. For example, if Polymarket has significantly higher volume, its price may be more responsive to new information. These factors contribute to the dynamic interplay between the two platforms and the overall market for this event.