TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Bitcoin price on September 7?
polymarket

Bitcoin price on September 7?

Volume:
$154,992

78,000-80,000

 - Polymarket

78,000-80,000 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 7, 2026

Closed: Sep 7, 12:17 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

78,000-80,000

View
100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$19,381
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

82,000-84,000

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$42,606
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

80,000-82,000

View
0%
36%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23,795
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

76,000-78,000

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22,549
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<70,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19,762
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

84,000-86,000

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,683
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

74,000-76,000

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,643
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

72,000-74,000

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,994
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

86,000-88,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,111
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

70,000-72,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$960
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

>88,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$509
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders manually set the odds through buying and selling contracts, which determines the implied probability. The current pricing reflects the collective view of Polymarket users about Bitcoin’s trajectory, with no external adjustments from algorithms. As trading volume of $119,922 flows in, the market price can shift quickly based on new information or shifts in sentiment among participants.

This market resolves around Sep 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. On that date, the closing price of Bitcoin will be checked against the defined range, and the market will settle automatically based on whether the price falls inside or outside the specified band. No manual intervention is required after the deadline passes.

Between now and Sep 7, 2026, key signals such as major macroeconomic announcements, central bank policies, geopolitical developments, or sudden shifts in crypto exchange inflows and outflows could all impact this market. Large institutional trades, regulatory updates, or even significant movements in correlated assets like Ethereum may cause rapid re-pricing. Traders on Polymarket will be watching these cues closely as they shape expectations for Bitcoin’s price on the resolution date.