TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Science and Technology
Bitcoin price on September 14?
opinion
polymarket

Bitcoin price on September 14?

Volume:
$52,592

78,000-80,000

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Opinion

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 14, 2026

Closed: Sep 14, 12:15 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

78,000-80,000

View
100%
76%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10,544
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
opinion

78,000-80,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

76,000-78,000

View
0%
58%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,063
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

76,000-78,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

74,000-76,000

View
0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,700
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

74,000-76,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

72,000-74,000

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,206
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

72,000-74,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

80,000-82,000

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,085
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

80,000-82,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<70,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,789
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

<70,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

70,000-72,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$933
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

70,000-72,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

84,000-86,000

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$762
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

84,000-86,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

82,000-84,000

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$185
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

86,000-88,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$170
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

86,000-88,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

>88,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$155
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

>88,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 21

Description

This group forecasts the price of Bitcoin on September 14th. Markets ask whether the price will fall into specific ranges or exceed certain thresholds, providing a granular view of potential price movements. All markets resolve based on the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close at noon ET.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms utilize the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close at 12:00 PM ET on September 14th as the resolution source, creating consistent market definitions.Primary resolution logic: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candles (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT)

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is based on the 'Close' price of the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle at 12:00 PM ET on September 14th.
  • If the price falls exactly on a boundary between ranges, the market resolves to the higher range.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Binance Downtime: If Binance is unavailable at the resolution time, PredictionHero will attempt to source data from a reputable alternative exchange (e.g., Coinbase) with similar trading volume and liquidity. The decision will be made at PredictionHero's discretion.
Timing: September 14th, 12:00 PM ET (based on the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close).Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Opinion

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the final "Close" price of the Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on the date specified in the title falls within the price range specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective on future events, potentially offering a different outlook than traditional spot price expectations. Spot prices are influenced by immediate supply and demand, while this market incorporates a broader range of factors, including anticipated news, regulatory changes, and macroeconomic trends. The implied probability distribution derived from this market can be a valuable signal for understanding market participants’ collective forecast beyond simple price discovery, and may differ from those found in traditional financial instruments.

Polymarket and Opinion can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in pricing between Polymarket and Opinion on this market can arise from several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying risk appetites and information access. Polymarket may have a higher concentration of sophisticated traders, while Opinion might be more accessible to a broader audience. Furthermore, the liquidity and trading volume on each platform can influence price discovery. These factors, combined with differing market mechanics and user interfaces, can lead to discrepancies in the perceived probability of outcomes for the September Bitcoin price market.