TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 31, 12:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market on Polymarket tracks whether Bitcoin will trade between $72,000 and $74,000 at noon ET on May 31, 2026. The leading outcome—Bitcoin settling in that range—currently shows 100.0% probability, while the alternative outcome of Bitcoin falling below $68,000 stands at 0.1%. Resolution will be determined by the Binance BTC/USDT closing price on the 1-minute candle at 12:00 ET on May 31, 2026. Watch the Binance spot price action as May 31, 2026 approaches to gauge whether Bitcoin remains within the predicted range.
Prediction market odds reflect trader consensus on where Bitcoin will trade on May 31, often diverging from current spot prices due to time horizon and volatility expectations. While spot markets price Bitcoin in real time, prediction markets embed forward-looking sentiment and tail-risk premiums. Comparing prediction odds to analyst price targets and on-chain metrics can reveal whether the market is pricing in bullish momentum, consolidation, or downside risk. The gap between current spot and May 31 market odds suggests how much price movement traders expect over the next several months.
The Bitcoin price on May 31 market resolves on May 31, 2026, at which point the actual Bitcoin price is determined and matched against the outcome brackets. The winning outcome is the bracket that contains Bitcoin's price at the resolution timestamp. All shares in the correct bracket are redeemed at full value, while shares in incorrect brackets expire worthless. This binary settlement structure ensures clear, objective resolution based on verifiable price data at a specific point in time.
Bitcoin price on May 31 could be influenced by macroeconomic policy shifts, Federal Reserve interest rate decisions, and inflation data releases over the coming months. Regulatory announcements regarding cryptocurrency oversight, institutional adoption milestones, and major on-chain events such as network upgrades or exchange flows can trigger sharp repricing. Geopolitical developments, traditional market volatility, and shifts in risk sentiment across equities and commodities also historically correlate with Bitcoin moves. Tracking these catalysts helps traders anticipate whether May 31 odds will drift higher or lower as the resolution date approaches.