TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 7, 12:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect traders' consensus on Bitcoin's June 7 price and often diverge from current spot prices or analyst forecasts. While spot markets price Bitcoin in real time based on immediate supply and demand, prediction markets incorporate forward-looking expectations and uncertainty over a longer horizon. Comparing the implied price from market odds to today's spot price reveals whether traders expect Bitcoin to appreciate, depreciate, or remain stable. Analyst price targets and on-chain metrics provide alternative benchmarks for validating market sentiment.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, Bitcoin price on June 7 is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different price ranges or outcomes. The current odds reflect the most recent trades and available liquidity at each price level. As new information emerges—regulatory announcements, macroeconomic shifts, or on-chain activity—traders adjust their positions, moving the market price. Polymarket's transparent order book allows you to see bid-ask spreads and depth, giving insight into conviction levels across the market.
The Bitcoin price on June 7 market resolves on Jun 7, 2026. Resolution is determined by the actual Bitcoin price at the specified time and source. Traders who hold shares in the correct outcome receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless. The exact price source and settlement time are defined in the market rules to ensure objective, verifiable resolution. Check the event details for the precise reference exchange and timestamp used to determine the final Bitcoin price.
Bitcoin's price on June 7 could be influenced by Federal Reserve policy announcements, inflation data, and geopolitical developments affecting risk appetite. Regulatory news—such as SEC decisions on spot Bitcoin ETFs or government crypto frameworks—often triggers sharp moves. On-chain metrics like exchange inflows, whale transactions, and network activity provide early signals of trader sentiment. Macroeconomic events, corporate adoption announcements, and technical breakouts or breakdowns can also shift market expectations. Monitoring these catalysts helps traders anticipate volatility and adjust positions ahead of resolution.