TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 2, 12:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Bitcoin's price will fall below $68,000 at noon ET on June 2, 2026, based on the Binance BTC/USDT closing price. On Polymarket, the leading outcome—Bitcoin trading below $68,000—stands at 98.6%, while the probability of Bitcoin trading between $68,000 and $70,000 is 1.4%. Resolution will be determined by Binance's official 1-minute candle close price for BTC/USDT at 12:00 ET on June 2, 2026. Watch the spot price action on Binance in the days leading up to the noon ET settlement on June 2 to gauge whether Bitcoin can sustain a move above the $68,000 level.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect trader consensus about Bitcoin's price on June 2, which often diverges from current spot prices and analyst forecasts. While spot price reflects immediate market conditions, prediction markets incorporate forward-looking sentiment and uncertainty over months. Comparing the leading outcome's implied price range to today's Bitcoin price and consensus analyst targets reveals whether traders expect appreciation, depreciation, or stability. The $580,847 in 24-hour volume suggests active price discovery, helping identify whether market participants are pricing in bullish or bearish scenarios relative to conventional expectations.
The Bitcoin price on June 2 market resolves on Jun 2, 2026. Resolution is determined by Bitcoin's actual price at that time, measured against the specific price range defined by each outcome contract. The outcome corresponding to the price bracket Bitcoin occupies at resolution will be marked correct, and traders holding YES shares in that outcome receive their payout. All other outcomes resolve to zero. The resolution process is automated and final once the reference price is confirmed.
Bitcoin's price on June 2 could be influenced by macroeconomic data, Federal Reserve policy announcements, inflation reports, and geopolitical developments affecting risk appetite. Regulatory news—including SEC decisions on spot Bitcoin ETFs or government stance on crypto—often triggers sharp moves. On-chain metrics such as exchange inflows, whale transactions, and mining activity provide technical signals. Institutional adoption announcements and corporate treasury moves can shift sentiment. Market-wide events like stock market volatility or currency crises may drive capital toward or away from Bitcoin. Monitoring these catalysts helps traders adjust positions as conviction around the June 2 price outcome evolves.