TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 14, 12:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect real-money bets from traders and typically embed forward-looking expectations about Bitcoin's June 14 price. These odds can diverge from current spot prices because markets price in expected volatility, macroeconomic catalysts, and regulatory developments over the coming months. Comparing Polymarket implied probabilities to analyst forecasts and traditional derivatives markets reveals whether traders are pricing in bullish or bearish scenarios relative to consensus expectations. Persistent gaps between prediction market odds and spot-price-based models often signal where informed traders see asymmetric risk.
Bitcoin price on June 14 is priced on Polymarket using an automated market maker model where traders buy and sell outcome shares directly against a liquidity pool. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each price range or outcome has its own share token, and the cost to buy shares reflects the current implied probability. As traders accumulate positions, prices adjust dynamically based on supply and demand. Polymarket's transparent order book and real-time settlement allow participants to enter or exit positions at any time before the Jun 14, 2026 resolution deadline, making pricing responsive to breaking news and market-moving events.
The Bitcoin price on June 14 market resolves on Jun 14, 2026. Resolution is determined by the actual Bitcoin price at the specified time on that date, measured against predefined price brackets or thresholds established at market creation. The outcome that matches the realized price range wins, and all shares in that outcome are redeemed at full value while other outcomes expire worthless. Traders should verify the exact price source and timestamp used for settlement before the resolution window closes.
Bitcoin price on June 14 could be influenced by Federal Reserve policy announcements, inflation data, and macroeconomic sentiment shifts that typically drive risk-asset volatility. Regulatory developments—including SEC decisions on spot Bitcoin ETFs or enforcement actions—often trigger sharp repricing. Geopolitical events, corporate adoption announcements, and technical levels near key support or resistance can accelerate moves. On-chain metrics such as large whale transactions or exchange inflows may signal accumulation or distribution pressure. Monitoring these catalysts helps traders assess whether current Polymarket odds reflect the full range of plausible outcomes heading into June 14.