TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 13, 12:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect traders' collective expectations for Bitcoin's price on June 13, often diverging from current spot prices due to time value and volatility expectations. While spot markets price Bitcoin for immediate settlement, prediction markets embed forward-looking sentiment about regulatory announcements, macroeconomic shifts, and on-chain activity over the coming months. Comparing the implied price from market odds to analyst forecasts and technical levels can reveal whether traders are pricing in bullish or bearish catalysts ahead of the resolution date.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, Bitcoin price on June 13 is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for outcome shares. The current odds reflect the marginal price at which the last trade executed, and liquidity depth determines how easily large orders can move the market. Traders assess historical volatility, upcoming events, and macroeconomic conditions to set their valuations, with the most probable price range typically commanding the highest trading volume and tightest spreads.
Major catalysts include Federal Reserve policy announcements, inflation data releases, and geopolitical developments that typically drive risk-on or risk-off sentiment across crypto markets. Bitcoin's correlation with traditional equities means stock market volatility, bond yields, and dollar strength can significantly influence price direction. On-chain metrics such as exchange inflows, whale wallet movements, and network activity also signal trader conviction. Regulatory news, institutional adoption announcements, and technical breakouts through key resistance or support levels frequently trigger sharp repricing in prediction market odds leading up to June 13.