TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 11, 12:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect trader consensus on Bitcoin's June 11 price and often diverge from current spot prices or analyst forecasts. While spot price represents today's market value, prediction odds embed forward-looking expectations, volatility assumptions, and event risk over the coming months. Comparing Polymarket implied probabilities to analyst price targets or historical volatility models can reveal whether traders expect significant movement or stability. This gap highlights how prediction markets price uncertainty differently than traditional price discovery, offering an alternative gauge of where the market believes Bitcoin will settle by resolution date.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, Bitcoin price on June 11 is priced through outcome shares that traders buy and sell to express their view on where Bitcoin will trade at market close on that date. Each outcome represents a specific price range or level, and the market price of those shares reflects the collective probability assigned by Polymarket participants. Liquidity and trading volume determine how easily you can enter or exit positions. The leading outcome and its current probability show the market's strongest conviction, while bid-ask spreads indicate how confident traders are in their positions on this particular date.
Bitcoin's price on June 11 could be influenced by macroeconomic announcements, Federal Reserve policy signals, regulatory developments, and major institutional or corporate Bitcoin moves. Geopolitical events, inflation data, and shifts in risk appetite also historically drive crypto volatility. Technical levels and on-chain metrics may guide trader positioning as the date approaches. Market-specific catalysts such as large derivative expirations, exchange inflows or outflows, and sentiment shifts on social media can create sharp moves. Monitoring these signals alongside Polymarket order flow helps traders anticipate how odds may shift before resolution.