TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 10, 12:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect trader consensus on Bitcoin's June 10 price, which often diverges from current spot prices or analyst forecasts. While spot markets price Bitcoin's immediate value, prediction markets embed expectations about volatility, macroeconomic shifts, and regulatory developments over the coming months. Comparing Polymarket odds to consensus analyst price targets or on-chain metrics can reveal whether traders expect Bitcoin to appreciate, depreciate, or remain range-bound by June 10. This gap highlights unique insights embedded in decentralized prediction markets.
Bitcoin price on June 10 is priced on Polymarket as a binary or range-based outcome market where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to specific price brackets or directional outcomes. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market uses an automated market maker or order-book mechanism to determine real-time odds based on trading volume and position flow. As traders accumulate shares in higher or lower price ranges, the probability curve shifts to reflect evolving expectations. Polymarket's transparent order history lets you see exactly how large trades and sentiment shifts have moved the price over time.
Major catalysts for Bitcoin price movement through June 10 include Federal Reserve policy decisions, inflation data, and geopolitical developments affecting risk appetite. Regulatory announcements—particularly around spot Bitcoin ETFs or institutional custody—can trigger sharp repricing. On-chain metrics such as exchange inflows, whale accumulation, and mining difficulty adjustments signal shifting supply-demand dynamics. Macro events like central bank rate decisions or corporate earnings also influence Bitcoin as a risk asset. Tracking these signals on Polymarket odds helps you anticipate how traders are positioning for each potential outcome.