TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Bitcoin price on July 1?
polymarket

Bitcoin price on July 1?

Volume:
$263,056

60,000-62,000

 - Polymarket

60,000-62,000 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 1, 2026

Closed: Jul 1, 12:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

60,000-62,000

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$74,408
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

58,000-60,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$71,342
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

54,000-56,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$33,785
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

62,000-64,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$28,528
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

56,000-58,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22,104
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

52,000-54,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,585
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<52,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,781
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

64,000-66,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,068
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

66,000-68,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,563
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

68,000-70,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,280
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

>70,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$612
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

The Bitcoin price prediction market dashboard on Polymarket tracks real-time odds, historical price movements, and trading activity for this event. Traders wager on where Bitcoin's spot price will land on July 1, with current volume of $263,056 across all outcome brackets. The dashboard displays live odds for each price range, 24-hour volume of $218,571, and order-book depth, allowing participants to monitor shifting sentiment and liquidity as the event date approaches. This transparency helps traders make informed decisions about their positions.

Prediction market odds reflect what traders collectively believe will occur, often diverging from current spot prices or analyst forecasts. In this market, the odds represent aggregated bets on Bitcoin's price range by July 1, incorporating expectations about volatility, macroeconomic shifts, and on-chain activity. Unlike a static price target, these odds update continuously as new information emerges and traders adjust positions. Comparing this market's leading outcome odds to consensus analyst price targets can reveal whether traders are pricing in more bullish or bearish scenarios than the broader market consensus.

This market resolves around Jul 1, 2026, once Bitcoin's price on that date becomes verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which price bracket Bitcoin's spot price falls into at the specified time. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the event time, once price data is confirmed and the platform processes the settlement.

Major catalysts that could shift this market include Federal Reserve policy announcements, macroeconomic data releases, regulatory developments affecting cryptocurrency, and significant on-chain or institutional adoption news. Bitcoin's correlation with equity markets means stock-market volatility or changes in risk appetite can drive substantial price swings. Geopolitical events, central bank statements, and large whale transactions also influence trader sentiment. Technical levels and options expiry dates may create support or resistance, while social media momentum and media coverage can amplify short-term moves ahead of July 1.