TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Science and Technology
Bitcoin price on August 8?
kalshi
opinion
polymarket

BNB price range on Aug 7, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

Volume:
$94,131

64,000-66,000

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Opinion

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 8, 2026

Closed: Aug 8, 12:32 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

64,000-66,000

View
100%
12%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$25,393
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
opinion

64,000-66,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$590 to 594.99

View
100%
92%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$299
N/A
N/A
$297
Settled
Yes
polymarket

66,000-68,000

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23,738
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

66,000-68,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

62,000-64,000

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20,508
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

62,000-64,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

60,000-62,000

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,016
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

60,000-62,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

68,000-70,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,930
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

68,000-70,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<54,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,406
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

<54,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

70,000-72,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,125
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

70,000-72,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

54,000-56,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$851
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

54,000-56,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

>72,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$771
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

>72,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

56,000-58,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$590
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

56,000-58,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

58,000-60,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$425
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

58,000-60,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$595 to 599.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$38
N/A
N/A
$32
Settled
No
kalshi

$470 to 474.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 72

Description

This event group concerns predicting the price range of Bitcoin on August 8, 2026. Multiple platforms offer markets on whether Bitcoin's price will fall within specific dollar ranges or exceed a certain threshold on that date.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms use the same resolution source and logic: Binance BTC/USDT closing price at 12:00 ET on August 8, 2026, with exact boundary cases resolving to the higher bracket.Primary resolution logic: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 ET on August 8, 2026

Core resolution logic:

  • Use the Binance BTC/USDT closing price at 12:00 ET (noon) on August 8, 2026
  • If the price falls exactly on a bracket boundary, resolve to the higher range bracket

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Exact Boundary: If Bitcoin's price is exactly $54,000, it resolves to the $54,000-$56,000 bracket rather than <$54,000
Timing: Resolves after 12:00 ET on August 8, 2026, using the official Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close priceOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the simple average price of BNB (Binance Coin) using CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD Real Time Index (RTI) data collected in the sixty seconds before 5 PM EDT on August 7, 2026. Specifically, 60 RTI price points are gathered in the final minute before expiration, and the average of these values determines the outcome. If this average falls within any of the specified price ranges—from $469.99 or below up to $710 or above—the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes.' All markets share the same data source and calculation methodology, ensuring consistency across outcomes. The ranges are sequential and mutually exclusive, covering every possible price outcome, with each range defining a unique resolution condition for its respective market.

Opinion

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the final "Close" price of the Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on the date specified in the title falls within the price range specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

Kalshi and Opinion can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in liquidity, user bases, and trading mechanics between Kalshi and Opinion can lead to price gaps. Each venue may attract distinct types of traders—some more speculative, others more hedging-oriented—which influences how odds are set. Additionally, varying fee structures and market design choices can cause Kalshi and Opinion prices to diverge until sufficient volume aligns them closer.