TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Science and Technology
Bitcoin price on August 7?
opinion
polymarket

Bitcoin price on August 7?

Volume:
$179,002

64,000-66,000

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Opinion

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 7, 2026

Closed: Aug 7, 12:20 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

64,000-66,000

View
100%
33%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$59,805
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
opinion

64,000-66,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

62,000-64,000

View
0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$44,585
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

62,000-64,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

60,000-62,000

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$27,595
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

60,000-62,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

66,000-68,000

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25,561
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

66,000-68,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

56,000-58,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,325
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

56,000-58,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

58,000-60,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,164
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

58,000-60,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

68,000-70,000

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,048
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

68,000-70,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

>72,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,190
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

70,000-72,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,042
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

70,000-72,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<54,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$414
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

54,000-56,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$274
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

<56,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

72,000-74,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

>74,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 22

Description

This event group focuses on predicting the price range of Bitcoin on August 7. The markets cover various price brackets to capture different possible outcomes for Bitcoin's valuation on that specific date.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms use the same resolution criteria: Binance BTC/USDT closing price at 12:00 ET on August 7, with ties resolved in favor of the higher bracket.Primary resolution logic: Binance BTC/USDT 1 minute candle close price at 12:00 ET on August 7

Core resolution logic:

  • Use the BTC/USDT pair on Binance
  • Check the 1 minute candle close price at exactly 12:00 ET (noon) on August 7
  • If the price falls exactly between two brackets, resolve to the higher range bracket

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Exact Bracket Boundary: If the closing price is exactly at a bracket boundary (e.g., $56,000), the market resolves to the higher bracket (e.g., 56,000-58,000)
  • Market Closure: If Binance is closed or experiences technical issues at the specified time, use the last valid closing price before the timestamp
Timing: Resolution occurs immediately after the 12:00 ET candle closes on August 7Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Opinion

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the final "Close" price of the Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on the date specified in the title falls within the price range specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Bitcoin August price market aggregates data from multiple venues, giving you a live view of how traders across platforms see the likelihood of different price outcomes. It shows combined volume of $179,002 and recent 24-hour volume of $138,804, letting you gauge overall interest and sentiment toward this market.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through user bets that reflect collective expectations for Bitcoin’s value by the target date. Those odds can diverge from the current spot price because traders are betting on future conditions, not the present value. The gap between market-implied prices and spot can widen or shrink as new information emerges, making this market a forward-looking signal.