TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Bitcoin price on August 26?
polymarket
opinion

Bitcoin price on August 26?

Volume:
$345,098

>78,000

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Opinion

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 26, 2026

Closed: Aug 26, 12:31 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

>78,000

View
100%
23%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$22,884
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
opinion

>78,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<60,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$197,977
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

<60,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

60,000-62,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$59,485
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

60,000-62,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

74,000-76,000

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21,868
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

74,000-76,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

76,000-78,000

View
0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20,117
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

76,000-78,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

72,000-74,000

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,430
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

72,000-74,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

70,000-72,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,407
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

70,000-72,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

66,000-68,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,817
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

66,000-68,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

64,000-66,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,657
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

64,000-66,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

68,000-70,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,309
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

68,000-70,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

62,000-64,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,148
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

62,000-64,000

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 22

Description

This event group tracks the price of Bitcoin on August 26 across multiple prediction markets. Each market represents a different price range or threshold that Bitcoin's closing price may fall into on that specific date.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Opinion markets use identical resolution logic based on Binance BTC/USDT closing price at 12:00 ET on August 26, with consistent range definitions and boundary handling rulesPrimary resolution logic: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 ET on August 26

Core resolution logic:

  • Use the official Binance BTC/USDT exchange closing price from the 1-minute candle at exactly 12:00 ET (noon) on August 26
  • Ranges are mutually exclusive except for the top bracket (>78,000)
  • If price falls exactly on a boundary between ranges, resolve into the higher range bracket
  • All markets resolve simultaneously based on the same price data point

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Exact Boundary: If price is exactly $60,000, it resolves to the 60,000-62,000 range rather than <60,000
  • Top Bracket: Any price above $78,000 including exactly $78,000 resolves to >78,000 market
Timing: Resolution occurs immediately after the Binance 1-minute candle closes at 12:00 ET on August 26, 2024Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Opinion

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the final "Close" price of the Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on the date specified in the title falls within the price range specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.